Is the Mars one program likely to happen?

No, it is a phony plan by a reality TV show in Holland that started this fraudulent publicity stunt.

Unless of course, Mars One wins every Powerball lottery for a hundred years or takes over the financial resources of China and the United States.

Mars One is a joke. They don't have the money to implement even the first step of their plan.
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No.
They will go bankrupt before the first rocket is built.

They're never going to raise enough money.

Nope. They have no money, no tech, their supposed technical partnerships do not exist, and no legal authority to land on Mars or even launch a rocket.

one day it will