Betting Odd Question?

2016-03-01 3:16 pm
Which scenario get a higher odd in making a profit through betting? statistical and practical speaking.

Let's say flipping a coin and I am betting on it land on tail or head. The game is a continuous play, just like the casino, as is you can bet on it any time you like but let say you can only place a fixed amount of bet. Below is the two scenario

1) Bet on each individual game

2) Only place bet when a trend is observed and bet on the other. For example: I will only place bet on head when there is five continuous tail flipped.

Guys, which betting strategy could help me yield a better profit? Thanks in advance.

回答 (8)

2016-03-01 3:58 pm
Doesn't make a difference. Past results (assuming you don't have a weighted coin) have no bearing on future results.

Why would you wait for 5 in a row instead of 4 in a row... or 6 in a row? What's magical about 5? (HINT: nothing)

If you are betting heads/tails, you'll be right 50% of the time.
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Curiously... you actually think the coin is aware that it's been tails 5 in a row and is now more likely to be a heads?
2016-03-02 2:12 am
Coins don't have memories. Assuming the coin flip is fair, then the chance on every flip is 50-50.
2016-03-05 6:13 pm
Trends don't exist in a coin flipping game. Or rather they are irrelevant. Each flip of the coin is not in any way affected by the previous flip(s) nor do they affect future flip(s). Each flip is entirely independent and a 50/50 shot, and betting on a trend is no different than betting randomly.

BOTH will give you the same profit, which is in the long run $0. You will lose in the long run as often as you win on a coin flip.
2016-03-01 6:39 pm
What's the chance of 6 tails in a row?
What's the chance of 5 tails in a row followed by a heads?
Which of those is more likely? (Hint: trick question.)

What's the chance of a given flip being heads? Does that change knowing that the coin was flipped some time in the past? If so, how long ago counts? And does the coin have a mind of its own that remembers past results? If so, how do you know that it wants to even things out? How do you know it doesn't enjoy landing on tails (I'm kind of a tail man myself if you catch my drift)? But assuming it wants to even things out, how will it do it? By altering the laws of physics once it's in the air?

You're right about your question being an odd one.
2017-03-04 2:23 am
2
2016-06-09 8:30 pm
1
參考: #1 Groundbreaking Betting System - http://BettingMachine.oruty.com/?lRJ
2016-03-13 6:29 pm
A coin-flip situation is one where there is an equal chance of either event occurring, with external factors having no bearing on the outcome - so , rather bizarrely , by that definition , flipping a coin does Not constitute a coin-flip situation!
2016-03-01 4:10 pm
Luck!


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