Orioles will not be a contender but they also won't be the worst. I expect them to in the middle of the pack. They might get a chance at the second wild card spot.
Worse.
The Orioles aren't going to contend anytime soon and they know it. If they had a snowball's chance in hell of contending they never would have withdrawn the offer to Davis. Withdrawing an offer to a player is about the same as saying "thanks for the memories". The Orioles haven't done anything to improve their pitching staff which was in the bottom half of the AL last year. They can't sign "new" pitchers to fix this because the quality free agent pitchers already resigned elsewhere. With improvements the Red Sox made, they'll be slugging it out with Tampa for last place.