✔ 最佳答案
P( x = 1 | x = 1 或 x = 2 )
= P[ x = 1 及 (x = 1 或 x = 2) ] / P(x = 1 或 x = 2)
= P( x = 1 ) / P(x = 1 或 x = 2)
= [(₂C₁)(₉₉₈C₄₉₉)/(₁₀₀₀C₅₀₀)] / [(₂C₁)(₉₉₈C₄₉₉)/(₁₀₀₀C₅₀₀) + (₂C₂)(₉₉₈C₄₉₈)/(₁₀₀₀C₅₀₀)]
= [(₂C₁)(₉₉₈C₄₉₉)] / [(₂C₁)(₉₉₈C₄₉₉) + (₂C₂)(₉₉₈C₄₉₈)]
= 0.667111408
2015-02-13 14:55:36 補充:
謝謝兩位的意見!
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2015-02-13 22:55:53 補充:
謝謝 阿番 網友指出:
答案以分數表示為1000/1499
2015-02-13 22:56:57 補充:
謝謝 ☂雨後晴空☀ 網友提出另解:
P(x=1 | x=1或x=2)
P(x=1)
= ───────────
P(x=1) + P(x=2)
(500C1) (500C1) / 1000C2
= ─────────────────────────────────────
(500C1) (500C1) / 1000C2 + (500C0) (500C2) / 1000C2
2015-02-13 22:57:17 補充:
(500) (500)
= ────────────────────
(500) (500) + (1) (500×499/2)
500
= ──────────
500 + 499/2
1000
= ────
1499