有關立法會的功能組別及直選組別

1. a) It varies. Usually pan-democracy camp ("pan-democracy") will have more candidates than pro-establishment camp ("pro-establishment").

b) No. The success of pro-establishment is solely based on election engineering (candidate collaboration). In fact, statistically, pan-democracy has more vote counts than pro-establishment.

c) Yes, but not the reason you mention. The loss of pan-democracy is solely due to the failure of pan-democracy in maximizing the proportional representation system. In other word, the loss of pan-democracy has nothing to do with pro-establishment. The winning of pro-establishment is simply incidental (as they know how to play the game).

2. a) It is relatively simple. Functional constituency basically represents business interests. When pan-democracy try to introduce pro-grassroots policies (like minimum wages), the proposal will contradict the interests and functional constituency will vote against to protect the interests.

In other word, functional constituency seems to be pro-establishment as they intend to protect their own interests.

b) It is not related. It is simply related to the interests functional constituency represents.

c) See 2a above.

d) No. It is simply incidental.

3. It is the same situation as functional constituency. At the least - voters in the Election Committee prefer a pro-interest Chief Executive rather than pro-grassroots.

For detail, see 2a.

Bottom line - Hong Kong's election result has nothing to do with pro-government (HKSAR/Chinese Central). The result is simply incidental.

2014-09-28 06:46:46 補充：
In short, election engineering is basically all measures taken to maximize the winning.

For example, resources distribution (don't waste money on losing candidates), list arrangement in proportional representation (who can bring more vote).

2014-09-28 06:47:10 補充：
It is not all about promotion. It is about how voters will respond based on measures you have taken.

2014-09-29 03:36:10 補充：
Continued at Comment.

2014-09-29 03:37:37 補充：
1. Yes. Election is about winning, not popularity. At the least, what have been shown is the loss of pan-democracy in the last election was due to failure to collaborate. It ended up pan-democracy candidates fought against each others.

2014-09-29 03:44:12 補充：
2. Of course.

Can you also generally describe what "election engineering" is? e.g. what is it, what is the tactic to win the "game", etc.

第一題係講直選,首先直選唔係講人數,係講配票,同埋而家用緊既係比例代表制,成件事係一個選舉工程,譬如我想2個人都入,用一張名單定分開名單會更有利,已經要計數,因為你仲要預計埋對手既得票先得.

上次泛民總得票多過建制,但議席就輸哂,原因就係工程出錯,而唔係好簡單咁,邊個人多就著數,選舉係比例代表制下,可以以少勝多,所以名單上排第二既猛人,從來都冇穩勝,就連余女神都係輸.

第二第三下次再答.

2014-09-27 18:23:59 補充：
不過你留意下,否決權係要幾多票,所以都唔係話冇用.