Binominal question

2013-03-10 9:11 pm
A deck of cards is shuffled and dealt to four players, with each receiving 13 cards.
Find the probability that the first player holds all the aces given that she holds the
ace of hearts.

答案系 [(3C3) (48C9)] / (51C12)
點解吾系
= P (first player holds all aces and holds the aces of hearts) / P (hold the aces of
hearts)
= P (first player holds all aces) / P (hold the aces of hearts)
[(4C4) (48C9)] / [(4C1)(48C12)]
因為holds the aces of hearts 己經系 holds all aces 入面

可吾可以解釋一下

回答 (1)

2013-03-10 11:57 pm
✔ 最佳答案
Explanation of the givenanswer :

To hold the ace of hearts :
• Get the ace of hearts (1C1).
• Get 12 more cards from the rest 51 cards (51C12).
No. of ways to hold the ace of hearts = (1C1) (51C12)

To hold all the aces and the ace of hearts :
• Get the ace of hearts (1C1).
• Get all of the rest 3 aces (3C3).
• Get 9 more cards from the rest 48 cards = (48C9)
No. of ways to hold all the aces and the ace of hearts = (1C1)(3C3) (48C9)

Hence, the required probability
= P([hold all the aces] | [hold the ace of hearts])
= P([hold all the aces] and [hold the ace of hearts] / P(hold the ace ofhearts)
= [(1C1) (3C3) (48C9)]/ [(1C1) (51C12)]
= [(3C3) (48C9)]/ (51C12)


=====
Amendment of your answer :

The main idea of your answer is alright, but mistakes occurs in calculation P(holdthe ace of hearts).
• It should be 1C1 instead of 4C1. 1C1 means that the onlyone cards of the ace of hearts is got, but 4C1 means thatone of the four aces is got.
• It should be 51C12 instead of 48C12. 51C12 means that 12 cards are got from the 51 cards thatare not the ace of hearts, but 48C12­ means that 12 cardsare got from the 48 cards that are not aces.

Hence, your answer would be amended as :
The required probability
= P([hold all the aces] | [hold the ace of hearts])
= P([hold all the aces] / P(hold the ace of hearts)
= [(4C4) (48C9)]/ [(1C1) (51C12)]


=====
The two answers are equal :

The two answers above are equal to each other, i.e.
[(3C3) (48C9)] / (51C12) = [(4C4) (48C9)] / [(1C1) (51C12)]

This is because : 1C1 = 3C3 = 4C4= 1
參考: andrew


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