急 ! F5 數 Probability 1條唔明 5q10

2012-11-26 4:34 pm
請詳細解釋下條計法原因.不要網址回答.

圖片參考:http://imgcld.yimg.com/8/n/HA00997022/o/20121126001001.jpg


做法及唔明點解咁做 ? :
37.(a) P(B) = 0.4, then P(B') = 1 - 0.4 = 0.6P(A|B') = P(A∩B')/P(B')0.3 = P(A∩B')/0.6P(A∩B') = 0.3 * 0.6P(A∩B') = 0.18 [這條我明白] (b)P(A) = a, then P(A') = 1 - aP(B|A') = P(A'∩B)/P(A') [點解P(B|A')不是P(B∩A')/ P(A') ?]0.5 = P(A'∩B)/(1 - a)P(A'∩B) = 0.5(1 - a) (c)P(A'∪B)= P(A') + P(B) - P(A'∩B)= (1 - a) + 0.4 - 0.5(1 - a)= 1 - a + 0.4 - 0.5 + 0.5a= 0.9 - 0.5a [這步我明白] (A'∪B)' = A∩B' [點解(A'∪B)'出面有一點,代表甚麼 ?]P(A'∪B)' = 0.18 [點計出是0.18, 如果是P(A∩B') 才是 0.18 ? ]1 - (0.9 - 0.5a) = 0.18 [跟住全部都吾知點解要咁做]1 - 0.9 + 0.5a = 0.180.5a = 0.08a = 0.16

回答 (1)

2012-11-26 5:49 pm
✔ 最佳答案
明明o係另一篇答左…
唔知點解冇左= ="
anyway再打過

(b)
其實
P(A'∩B) = P(B∩A')
亦即係話 (A' and B) 既概率 = (B and A') 既概率
描述次序問題唔影響答案

(c)

(A'∪B)' = A∩B'
呢度, (A'∪B)' 既意思就係 [Not (A'∪B)]
呢個係題目定義既
某個event 既 complementary event 就加一點上去
亦姐係 P(A'∪B)' = 1 - P(A'∪B)
同之前 P(B') = 1 - P(B) 係一樣既道理
如果睇唔明的話
可以用 P[(A'∪B)'] 黎表示

第二步之前
睇唔明的話,加番一句:
P(A'∪B)' = P(A∩B')

所以
(c)
(A'∪B)' = A∩B'
P(A'∪B)' = P(A∩B')
P(A'∪B)' = 0.18  [將前面 part (a)計倒既 P(A∩B') = 0.18 代入]
1 - (0.9 - 0.5a) = 0.18  [將前面計倒既 P(A'∪B)' = 0.9 - 0.5a 野代入]
1 - 0.9 + 0.5a = 0.18
0.5a = 0.08
a = 0.16

唔明既話試下畫圖:

------------------\
|  ------------    |   
|  |    /\    |    |
|  | A (A∩B) B|  A'∩B' |
|  |    \/    |    |
|  ------------    |
-------------------
(個圖差唔好介意…明就OK xD)

P(A'∪B) = P(B) + P(A'∩B')

P(A'∪B)'
= 1 - P(A'∪B)
= 1 - [P(B) + P(A'∩B')]
= P(A) - P(A∩B)
= P(A∩B')

2012-11-26 09:51:18 補充:
P(A'∪B)' = 1 - P(A'∪B) <= 呢度睇唔睇得明 0.0
參考: 自己, 自己


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