✔ 最佳答案
1)P(a tail is observed)= P(The chosen dice is fair and get tail) + P(The chosen dice is probability of heads 1/3 and get tail)= (4/10)(1/2) + (3/10)(1 - 1/3)= 2/5
2)P(Given that a tail is observed that the chosen coin was a fair one)= P(The chosen dice is fair and get tail) / P(a tail is observed) = (4/10)(1/2) / (2/5)= 1/2