probability! help!!!

2010-05-20 5:24 am
John and Mary play a dice game. John throws a fair dice once and scores double of the number shown.Mark throws two fair dice once and scores the sum of he numbe shown. Whoever scores more will win. Find the probilities of the following events happening.
a) John will win
b)Mary will win
c) There is a tie game

回答 (1)

2010-05-20 6:05 am
✔ 最佳答案
Total 6 x 6 = 36 cases :
1+1 = 2 , (1 case)
1+2 or 2+1 = 3 (2 cases)
1+3 or 3+1 or 2+2 = 4 (3 cases)
1+4 or 4+1 or 2+3 or 3+2 = 5 (4 cases)
1+5 or 5+1 or 2+4 or 4+2 or 3+3 = 6 (5 cases)
1+6 or 6+1 or 2+5 or 5+2 or 3+4 or 4+3 = 7 (6 cases)
2+6 or 6+2 or 3+5 or 5+3 or 4+4 = 8 (5 cases)
3+6 or 6+3 or 4+5 or 5+4 = 9 (4 cases)
deduce that :
Sum = 10 (3 cases) , 11(2 cases) and 12(1 case)
But the sum of John throws only have 6 cases :
2 , 4 , 6 , 8 , 10 , 12
a)
P( John will win )
= P(John 4 win Mary(2 to 3)) + P(6 win (2 to 5)) + P(8 win (2 to 7))
+ P(10 win (2 to 9)) + P(12 win (2 to 11))
= (1/6) (1+2)/36 + (1/6) (1+2+3+4)/36 + (1/6) (1+2+3+4+5+6)/36
+ (1/6) (1+2+3+4+5+6+5+4)/36 + (1/6) (1+2+3+4+5+6+5+4+3+2)/36
= (1/6)(1/36)(3 + 10 + 21 + 30 + 35)
= 11/24
c)
P(There is a tie game)
= P(John 2 draw Mary 2) + P(4 draw 4) + P(6 draw 6) + P(8 draw 8)
+ P(10 draw 10) + P(12 draw 12)
= (1/6) [(1/36) + (3/36) + (5/36) + (7/36) + (9/36) + (11/36)]
= 1/6
b)
P(Mary will win)
= 1 - P( John will win ) - P(There is a tie game)
= 1 - 11/24 - 1/6
= 3/8

2010-05-19 23:07:50 補充:
Corrections :

c)P(There is a tie game)

= P(John 2 draw Mary 2) + P(4 draw 4) + P(6 draw 6) + P(8 draw 8)
+ P(10 draw 10) + P(12 draw 12)

= (1/6) [(1/36) + (3/36) + (5/36) + (5/36) + (3/36) + (1/36)]

= 1/12

b) P(Mary will win)

= 1 - P( John will win ) - P(There is a tie game)

= 1 - 11/24 - 1/12

= 11/24

Sorry!!


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