probability問題,,,急!!!!!thank!!!

2009-05-15 9:47 pm
An insurance company notices that of 2200 claims made for burglary only 10% of premises had alarms and 16% had keyed window locks. The number of claims where premises had both an alarm and keyed window locks was 140. If a claim is chosen at random and the premises had no alarm what is the probability that there were also no window locks?
可以有step解釋埋嗎??

回答 (2)

2009-05-15 10:05 pm
✔ 最佳答案
According to the provided information
No. of claims with alarms = 10% x 2,200 =220
No. of claims with keyed window locks = 2,200 x 16% =352

Among these 2,200 claims,
No. of claims with alarms and keyed window locks = 140
No. of claims with keyed window locks ONLY = 352-140 =212
No. of claims with alarm only = 220-140= 80
No. of claims with no lock and no alarm = 2,200-140-212-80
=1,768


Now let's compute probability that a claim with no window locks provided that it has no alarm

Claim with no alarm = 2,200 - 220 = 1,980
Among these 1,980 claims with no alarm,
1,768 claims with no lock and no alarm
212 claims with lock only

So the probability that a claim with no window lock provided that it has no alarm
=1768/1980
=0.8929
參考: ME
2009-05-15 10:11 pm
Of the 2200 claims, 10% of them had alarms = 220 premises
Of the 2200 claims 16% of them had keyed window locks = 352 premises.
The number of premises that had both = 2200 x 14% = 308
The number of premises that had none = 2200 - 308-220-352=1420
The probability that there were no alarm and keyed window lock is
1420/2200 = 0.645

2009-05-15 14:29:04 補充:
The number of premises that had none = 2200 - 140 - 80 - 212 = 1768
The probably that the claim had none is = 1768/2200 = 0.8036


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