about probability problem!!!!

2009-01-22 8:09 pm
the probability that peter hits a target in a shot is 1/5 and the probability that john hits a target in a shot is 1/4. if each person shoots twice, find the probability that

(a) the target is not hit
(b) the target is hit
(c) only one hits

回答 (2)

2009-01-23 5:15 am
✔ 最佳答案
Given:
Peter and John each shoots twice.
Probability that Peter hits a target in a shot i.e. Pp (Peter hits a target in a shot)= 1/5.
Probability that John hits a target in a shot i.e. Pj(John hits a target in a shot ) = 1/4.
Solutions:
(a) Probability that the target is not hit
= P(Peter does not hit target in both shots)*P(John does not hit target in both shots)
= [P(Peter does not hit target in shot i)*P(Peter does not hit target in shot ii)] * [p(John does not hit target in shot i)*P(John does not hit target in shot ii)]
= [(1-Ppi)*(1-Ppii)] * [(1-Pji)*(1-Pjii)]
= [(1-1/5)(1-1/5) * (1-1/4)(1-1/4)]
= (4/5)(4/5)(3/4)(3/4)
= 9/25 or 36%


(b) Probability that the target is hit
= 1 - Probability that the target is not hit
= 1 - 9/25
= 16/25 or 64%

(c)(1) Probability that only one person hits
= [P(Peter hits in shot i and/or shot ii) * P(John does not hit in both shots)] + [P(Peter does not hit in both shots) * P(John hits in shot i and/or shot ii)]
= (Ppi)(1)*(1-Pji)(1-Pjii) + (1-Ppi)(1-Ppii)*(Pji)(1)
= (1/5)(1)*(1-1/4)(1-1/4) + (1-1/5)(1-1/5)*(1/4)(1)
= ( 1/5)*(3/4)(3/4) + (4/5)(4/5)*(1/4)
= 9/80 + 4/25
= (45+64)/400
= 109/400 or 25.23%
(c)(2)Probability that only one shot hits
= P(Peter only hits one and John does not hit twice) + P(John only hits one and Peter does not hit twice)
= [P(Peter hits in shot i and not shot ii) + P(Peter hits in shot ii and not shot i)] *P( John does not hit twice) + [(P(John hits in shot i and not shot ii) + P(John hits in shot ii and not shot i)]* P(Peter does not hit twice)
= [(Ppi)(1-Ppii) + (Ppii)(1-Ppi)]*(1-Pji)(1-Pjii) + [(Pji)(1-Pjii) + (Pjii)(1-Pji)]*(1-Ppi)(1-Ppii)
= [(1/5(1-1/5)+(1/5)(1-1/5)]*(1-1/4)(1-1/4) + [(1/4)(1-1/4)+(1/4)(1-1/4)]*(1-1/5)(1-1/5)
= (8/25)(3/4)(3/4) + (3/8)(4/5)(4/5)
= 9/50 + 12/50
= 21/50 or 42%
2009-01-22 8:48 pm
a)P(the target is not hit ) = P(peter not hit twice and john not hit twice)
= 4/5 * 4/5 * 3/4 * 3/4
= 9/25
b)P(the target is hit) = 1- P(the target is not hit ) = 1 - 9/25
=16/25
c)P(only one hit) = P(peter only hit one and john not hit twice) + P(peter not hit twice and john only hit one)

=2 *( 1/5 * 4/5 * 3/4 * 3/4 )+ 2 *( 4/5 * 4/5 * 1/4 * 3/4)
=9/50 + 6/25
=21/50


收錄日期: 2021-04-21 22:03:52
原文連結 [永久失效]:
https://hk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20090122000051KK00509

檢視 Wayback Machine 備份