急問forecasting, 請幫忙列算式, tks

2008-10-03 4:37 am
which forecast method seems to be more accurate, MADwma or MADes?
why?

*1) MAD= Mean absolute deviation
2) wma = Weighted moving average
3) es = Exponential smoothing

回答 (2)

2008-10-05 5:13 pm
✔ 最佳答案
I prefer mean absolute deviation (MAD). It is because the MAD of a data set is defined as the mean of the absolute values of the deviations from the mean; that is, the MAD is defined by
MAD = Σ∣T - 〒│
n


2008-10-05 09:19:34 補充:
對不起, 公式應是:
MAD = Σ(T - 〒)/ n
T可用X取代
2008-10-06 11:13 am
那是MADwma or MADes作為forecasting會好d?
其實2個也是MAD的


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