20分英文翻譯

2008-09-20 9:03 pm
TS 18W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD AND A BIT
POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE CONTINUED STEERING
INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGING TO THE NORTH. THEREAFTER,
A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY ANALYZED OVER NORTH-
EASTERN CHINA WILL INDUCE A WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE AS
THE TROUGH PROGRESSESS EASTWARD. TS 18W IS EXPECTED TO TURN
TOWARD A MORE POLEWARD TRACK AND DECREASE ITS FORWARD TRACK
SPEED DURING THE TAU 24 TO TAU 48 PERIOD AS A RESULT OF THIS
INDUCED WEAKNESS. AS RIDGING REBUILDS TO THE NORTH IN THE WAKE
OF THIS MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AFTER TAU 48, TS 18W IS EXPECTED
TO RESUME ITS WESTWARD MARCH. HOWEVER, THE NUMERICAL MODELS
SHOW SIGNIFICANT SPREAD DURING THIS EARLY TO MEDIUM TERM
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH NOGAPS, GFDN, GFS, WBAR, AND JGSM SHOWING
A SHARPER POLEWARD TRACK INTO THE DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE
SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE. THE ECMWF AND UKMET MODELS DEPICT
A DISTINCTLY WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH A SMALL POLEWARD STAIRSTEP OCCURRING
BETWEEN TAU 24 AND TAU 48 AS THE TROPICAL STORM NEARS THE
WEAKNESS IN THE STEERING RIDGE. BASED ON CURRENT ANALYSIS OF
THE STEERING FLOW AND GIVEN THE POOR PERFORMANCE OF THE MAIN
MODEL GROUPING, WHICH HAS THUS FAR DEPICTED AN ERRONEOUS
POLEWARD TRACK FOR THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL RUNS, THE CURRENT
FORECAST FAVORS THE WESTWARD-OUTLYING ECMWF AND UKMET MODEL
SOLUTIONS. GIVEN THE LARGE MODEL SPREAD, THERE IS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY IN THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK FOR BOTH THE SHORT
TERM AND EXTENDED FORECAST PERIODS. TS 18W IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY STEADILY OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS AS IT ENCOUNTERS
VERY FAVORABLE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT AND THE ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW
LAYER DEVELOPS ALOFT.

回答 (2)

2008-09-24 9:25 pm
實驗裝置18W預計移動通常向西和位POLEWARD在下24個小時期間在亞熱帶RIDGING的持續的操縱的影響之下向北部。 爾後, A開發的中間緯度低谷當前被分析在中國東北在操縱的里奇將導致一個弱點作為低谷PROGRESSESS向東。 由於這個導致的弱點,實驗裝置18W預計轉動往更多POLEWARD軌道和減少它的向前軌道速度在TAU 24到TAU 48期間。 當RIDGING改建到北部由於這個中間緯度低谷在TAU 48以後,實驗裝置18W預計恢復它的向西三月。 然而,數字模型及早顯示重大傳播在此期間對中期預測期間,與NOGAPS, GFDN、GFS、顯示一條更加鋒利的POLEWARD軌道的WBAR和JGSM入開發的弱點在亞熱帶操縱的里奇。 當熱帶風暴在操縱的里奇,臨近弱點ECMWF和UKMET模型描述一清楚地向西對WEST-NORTHWESTWARD軌道通過展望期間,当一個小POLEWARD樓梯發生在TAU 24和TAU 48之間。 基於對指點流程的當前分析和給主要式樣編組的惡劣的表現,至今描述了一條錯誤POLEWARD軌道為過去式樣的數跑,當前展望傾向WESTWARD-OUTLYING ECMWF和UKMET式樣解答。 給出大模式傳播,有可觀的不確定性在當前展望軌道為短期和延長的展望期間。 實驗裝置18W預計穩定地增強在下72個小時期間,當它遇到非常有利海洋熱容量,并且逆旋風流出層數開發得在高處。
2008-09-24 9:23 pm
茶匙18W 被預計行動一般向西和位元POLEWARD 在下24 小時期間在亞熱帶RIDGING 的持續的操縱的影響之下向北部。爾後, A 開發MID-LATITUDE 低谷當前被分析的結束中國東北將導致一個弱點在指點里奇作為低谷PROGRESSESS 向東。茶匙18W 被預計轉動往一條更多POLEWARD 軌道和減少它的向前軌道速度在TAU 24 到TAU 48 期間由於這個導致的弱點。當RIDGING 改建對北部由於這個MID-LATITUDE 低谷在TAU 48 以後, 茶匙18W 被預計恢復它的向西3月。但是, 數字模型展示重大傳播在及早這期間對中等期限展望期間, 與NOGAPS, GFDN 、GFS 、WBAR, 和JGSM 顯示一條更加鋒利的POLEWARD 軌道入顯現出的弱點在亞熱帶指點里奇。ECMWF 和UKMET 模型描述一分明地向西對WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 軌道通過展望期間, 用一小POLEWARD STAIRSTEP 發生在TAU 24 和TAU 48 之間當熱帶風暴臨近弱點在指點里奇。根據對指點流程的當前的分析和假使主要式樣編組的惡劣的表現, 至今描述了一條錯誤POLEWARD 軌道為過去數式樣跑, 當前的展望傾向WESTWARD-OUTLYING ECMWF 和UKMET 式樣解答。假使大模式傳播, 有可觀的不確定性在當前的展望軌道為短期和延長展望期。茶匙18W 被預計平穩地增強在下72 個小時期間當它遇到非常有利海洋熱容量並且ANTICYCLONIC 流出層數顯現出得在高處。


收錄日期: 2021-04-13 16:05:49
原文連結 [永久失效]:
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