[數學]:機率問題

2008-06-09 12:37 am
假若病人在某項手術中無法痊愈的機率是0.22。現有10名病人正要接受這項手術:

(a)
計算是項手術中無法痊愈的期望值及標準差。


(b)
在這10名病人中,恰有兩名病人無法痊愈的機率是多少?


(c) 在這10名病人中,至多一人無法痊愈的機率是多少?

回答 (3)

2008-06-11 9:59 pm
✔ 最佳答案
我自己本身讀英文 , 唔係好識中 文既terms

part a 答唔到你

首先你要define邊一個分佈~呢個係binomial (中文唔知咩)


b) 10 C2 ( 0.22)^2 (1-0.22)8

c)P(X >=1 ) = P(X = 0) + P(X =1 )
= (1-0.22) ^10 + 10 C1 (0.22 )( 1-0.22 )^9
2008-06-13 1:20 am
i am not very sure about the chinese terms in maths, thus i cannot calculate the 標準差 for u

(a) 期望值 ( i guess is the no. of people expected to be 無法痊愈)
0.22 x 10
= 2.2
therefore, around 2 people 無法痊愈 within these 10 patients

(b) 兩名病人無法痊愈的機率
0.22^2 x (1 - 0.22)^8 x 45
= 0.29841 ( 5 sig fig)

(c) 至多一人無法痊愈的機率
0.22 x ( 1 - 0.22)^9 x 10 + ( 1 - 0.22)^10
= 0.31847 ( 5 sig fig)

2008-06-12 17:20:51 補充:
(a) 期望值 ( i guess is the no. of people expected to be 無法痊愈)
0.22 x 10
= 2.2
therefore, around 2 people 無法痊愈 within these 10 patients

(b) 兩名病人無法痊愈的機率
0.22^2 x (1 - 0.22)^8 x 45
= 0.29841 ( 5 sig fig)

(c) 至多一人無法痊愈的機率
0.22 x ( 1 - 0.22)^9 x 10 + ( 1 - 0.22)^10
= 0.31847 ( 5 sig fig)
參考: me
2008-06-13 1:15 am
i am not very sure about the chinese terms in maths, thus i cannot calculate the 標準差 for u

(a) 期望值 ( i guess is the no. of people expected to be 無法痊愈)
0.22 x 10
= 2.2
therefore, around 2 people 無法痊愈 within these 10 patients

(b) 兩名病人無法痊愈的機率
0.22^2 x (1 - 0.22)^8 x 45
= 0.29841 ( 5 sig fig)

(c) 至多一人無法痊愈的機率
0.22 x ( 1 - 0.22)^9 x 10 + ( 1 - 0.22)^10
= 0.31847 ( 5 sig fig)

2008-06-12 17:23:46 補充:
(a) 期望值 ( i guess is the no. of people expected to be 無法痊愈)
0.22 x 10
= 2.2
therefore, around 2 people 無法痊愈 within these 10 patients

(b) 兩名病人無法痊愈的機率
0.22^2 x (1 - 0.22)^8 x 45
= 0.29841 ( 5 sig fig)

(c) 至多一人無法痊愈的機率
0.22 x ( 1 - 0.22)^9 x 10 + ( 1 - 0.22)^10
= 0.31847 ( 5 sig fig)
參考: me


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