好深既statictics 1 --- probability

2008-05-07 8:43 am
我對於statistics 真係好唔掂, 下面呢8題有無高手識做?? 可以教教我, 求求你們 ~~ 10萬個唔該

1. 42% of a corporation’s blue-collar employees were in favour of a modified health care plan, and 22% of its blue-collar employees favoured a proposal to change the work schedule. 34% of those favouring the health plan modification favoured the work schedule change.

a. What is the probability that a randomly selected blue-collar employee is in favour of both the modified health plan and the changed work schedule?
b. What is the probability that a randomly chosen blue-collar employee is in favour of at least one of the two changes?
c. What is the probability that a blue-collar employee favouring the work schedule change also favours the modified health plan?


2. A mail-order firm considers three possible events in filling an order:

A: The wrong item is sent.
B: The item is lost in transit.
C: The item is damaged in transit.

Assume that A is independent of both B and C and that B & C are mutually exclusive. The individual event probabilities are P(A) = 0.02, P(B) = 0.01, and P(C) = 0.04. Find the probability that at least one of these foul-ups occurs for a randomly chosen order.



3. In a promotion for a particular airline, customers and potential customers were given vouchers. A 1/400 proportion of these were worth a free round trip ticket anywhere this airline flies. How many vouchers would an individual need to collect in order to have a 50% chance of winning at least one free trip?

回答 (1)

2008-05-07 10:20 am
✔ 最佳答案
1. Let H = favour health plan
W = favour work change

P(H) = 0.42 P(W) = 0.22 P(W/H) = 0.34

a)
P(H and W) = P(H)P(W/H) [ by bayesian formula ]
= 0.1428

b)
P(H or W) = P(H) + P(W) - P(H and W)
= 0.42 + 0.22 - 0.0748
= 0.4972

c)
P(H/W) = P(H and W) / P(W)
= 0.6491

2. P(A or B or C)
= P(A) + P(B or C) - P(A and B or C)

now,
P(B or C) = P(B) + P(C) since B & C are ME
= 0.05
P(A and B or C) = P(A)P(B or C) since A is independent to B and C
= 0.001

So, P(A or B or C) = 0.069

3. 200 tickets are needed


收錄日期: 2021-04-16 16:47:41
原文連結 [永久失效]:
https://hk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20080507000051KK00111

檢視 Wayback Machine 備份