想問澳元的走勢

2008-04-10 5:57 am
港元貶值, 我想將佢全部兌換做澳元,
大家點睇澳元走勢?
原因係咩?

謝謝分享!!

回答 (2)

2008-04-14 10:38 pm
✔ 最佳答案
If you are going to use the AUD 2 years later, I will suggest you to wait and buy at lower level. It is because USD had been depreciated since 2001 and the depreciation pace had been increased in recent 2 years. US is now in economic slowdown or recession and interest rate almost reached bottom (might get further 100bps rates cut) in 2008. However, there are economic cycle in global economies and I expect US can pick up their economy in middle of 2009 when the interest rate will rise back to a more normal level around 4.75% (current rate is 2.25%). Therefore, you should buy AUD later (may be around middle of 2010), AUD will fall back dramatically from current level. I expect you can buy AUD at US 70 cents or HKD 5.50 level assuming that HKD remains prging with USD in 2010.
2008-04-10 4:57 pm
澳元而家兌換價好似略嫌高左d...

其實澳元有機會會跌,因為澳洲經濟增長減慢

同埋出口好似有d放緩o既跡象

不過如果係長線o既話都唔係唔可以...因為美國呢年可能會再減息

息差可能會令澳元升...而家7.2x,唔心急可以試下7.20以下分段入...

唔好一次過入...

短線就唔太建議...


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