✔ 最佳答案
We must sort out the stock yields distribution, we can draw a correct investment portfolio. Earlier Western economists think the stock yields are normal, but then after the economists found, yield stocks with fat tail characteristics, So with the stock yield obedience to study normal investment portfolio is not appropriate, we will use the t-distribution research. Markowitz (1952), securities investors do not know enough and risk aversion, that for a given level of risk, investors expect a greater return. For a given rate of return expectations, the hope is the smaller the better risk. Markowitz would then set a mean-variance criteria in drawing up the investment portfolio. In this paper, the Shanghai Stock Exchange of four stocks as the object of study. They were in the yield of normal distribution and not an investment portfolio First to normal and the distribution of the estimated parameters, normal distribution with the parameter estimation learned in the statistical knowledge will be solved, and we must not use distribution Hill estimates to estimate the tail index. Then into the mean-variance model arrived at two investment portfolios. By February 27, 2007 on the Shanghai Composite Index plummeted City and April 20, 2007 has risen to the city than the closing price two more in the investment portfolio yield. t came to the distribution of development in the investment portfolio yield than normal investment portfolio better conclusion.