✔ 最佳答案
China shares has risen a lot. Shanghai index has risen more than 40% since beginning of the year. Shanghai B shares index rised 9% this Monday. If you read the finance news from others countries (eg. USA and Australia), they all said that it is a bubble waiting to burst. Whether it is a major correction or a crash is depends on how big the bubble is.
HSI has not risen as dramatic as the china shares. eg. The price of china life and china bank in Shanghai market are about 50% more than the ones in HK. That means even if HK has a bubble forming, the bubble is much more smaller than the one in china. But china bubble brust is waiting to happen, when the bubble burst, it will more or less affect HSI. So yes, I think there will be a not too big correction in HSI, and a major correction in china index soon.
PS. Jerry said that there would be a major correction in HSI in Mar, Jun and Dec this year, and he was right about the March one.
http://www.forteller.com/art3.html