✔ 最佳答案
First of all, let's summarize all possible events that will lead to drawing a red ball from bag Y finally:
1) Not drawing a red ball from bag X but a red ball from bag Y:
P(Not drawing a red ball from bag X) = 1/4
Then after putting the ball into bag Y, bag Y will have a total of 10 balls with 6 being red, thus:
P(Drawing a red ball from bag Y) = 6/10 = 3/5
Using the multiplication of probability, the probability of event 1 is:
(1/4) x (3/5) = 3/20
2) Drawing a red ball from bag X and then a red ball from bag Y:
P(Not drawing a red ball from bag X) = 3/4
Then after putting the ball into bag Y, bag Y will have a total of 10 balls with 7 being red, thus:
P(Drawing a red ball from bag Y) = 7/10
Using the multiplication of probability, the probability of event 1 is:
(3/4) x (7/10) = 21/40
Since events (1) and (2) are mutually exclusive (as you cannot say that in the first draw, you can draw A RED AND NOT A RED ball)
So P(Event 1 or 2) = P(Event 1) + P(Event 2)
= 3/20 + 21/40
= 27/40
So the answer is D.